Terms of Service

2. What Tru Odds is

Tru Odds provides AI-assisted informational analysis of publicly available prediction markets (currently Polymarket and Kalshi). You may submit a market link; we return estimated probabilities, edge commentary, cited sources, and Kelly-style educational bet sizing illustrations.

The Service is read-only and advisory. We do not place trades, custody funds, hold wallets, match orders, or act as a broker, exchange, or betting operator.

3. Not financial or betting advice

All content is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing on Tru Odds constitutes financial, investment, tax, legal, or betting advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. You are solely responsible for any decisions you make. We make no representation that any estimate, edge figure, or illustration will be useful or profitable if acted upon.

4. Eligibility

You must be able to form a binding contract where you live and must use the Service in compliance with applicable law. We do not impose an age gate in product, and we do not implement state-level prediction-market gating — this is an analysis tool, not an operator. You are responsible for ensuring your use is lawful in your jurisdiction.

5. Accounts

Access requires signing in with Clerk (email magic link). We do not store passwords. You are responsible for activity under your account and for keeping access to your email secure.

6. Subscriptions & billing

There is no free tier. Paid access is sold as a recurring subscription (currently advertised at $20/month) processed by Whop. Billing, taxes, refunds, and cancellation are governed by Whop's checkout terms in addition to these Terms. Cancel anytime via your subscription page; access continues through the end of the paid period unless Whop states otherwise.

Fair-use rate limits apply to analyses (for example, per-hour and per-day caps) because each run costs third-party AI and search usage. Limits may change; we will surface clear messages when a limit is hit.

7. Acceptable use

You agree not to:

• Attempt to circumvent authentication, paywalls, or rate limits
• Scrape, overload, or reverse-engineer the Service beyond normal use
• Use the Service to break law or third-party platform terms
• Resell raw API access or misrepresent our output as your proprietary research without disclosure

8. Third-party services

The Service depends on third parties including Clerk (authentication), Whop (payments), Neon (database), market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, an AI provider (including via OpenRouter), and a search/retrieval provider (such as Tavily). Their availability and terms are outside our control. We may change providers without changing the nature of the Service.

9. Market data accuracy

Market questions, prices, liquidity, and related figures shown in the Service come from third-party platforms (including Polymarket and Kalshi) and may be delayed, incomplete, incorrect, or unavailable. Displayed prices may not reflect the current market state at the moment you decide to act. You are solely responsible for verifying live market conditions on the underlying platform before placing any trade or making any decision.

10. Model output variability

Probability estimates, reasoning text, sources selections, and related outputs are produced by statistical models and automated pipelines. Outputs may vary between runs even when you submit identical inputs. They are estimates that carry uncertainty — not guarantees, forecasts we stand behind, or statements of ground-truth probability. We do not warrant that any estimate is correct, stable, calibrated, or suitable for any purpose.

11. Kelly sizing — no reliance

Kelly-style bet sizing in the Service is an educational illustration computed from bankroll inputs you provide and from our (uncertain) estimate. It is not advice or a recommendation to wager any particular amount — or any amount at all. Fractional Kelly defaults exist because estimates are uncertain; they do not make a suggested size "safe," optimal, or appropriate for you. You remain solely responsible for any sizing decision you make.

12. Intellectual property

The Service UI, branding, and software are owned by us or our licensors. Market questions and prices remain those of their platforms. Analysis text and estimates are generated for your use under your subscription and do not constitute a warranty of any kind.

13. Modification or discontinuation of features

We may modify, suspend, limit, or discontinue any feature of the Service at any time, with or without notice, including analysis capabilities, platforms supported, rate limits, UI, or third-party integrations. We are not obligated to maintain any particular feature or output format.

14. Force majeure and third-party outages

We are not liable for any failure, delay, downtime, degradation, or incomplete analysis caused by events beyond our reasonable control, including failures or limits of third-party services we rely on (for example OpenRouter or another AI provider, Tavily or another search provider, Clerk, Whop, Neon, hosting/CDN providers, or Polymarket/Kalshi market data), as well as acts of God, internet outages, denial-of-service attacks, labor disputes, embargoes, or government action.

15. Disclaimers

THE SERVICE IS PROVIDED "AS IS" AND "AS AVAILABLE" WITHOUT WARRANTIES OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, AND NON-INFRINGEMENT. Without limiting the foregoing, we do not warrant that any analysis, estimate, ranking, source list, or sizing illustration is accurate, complete, current, reproducible, or suitable for trading or any other purpose.

16. Limitation of liability

TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW, WE ARE NOT LIABLE FOR INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, CONSEQUENTIAL, OR LOST PROFITS / TRADING LOSSES ARISING FROM USE OF THE SERVICE. OUR TOTAL LIABILITY FOR ANY CLAIM RELATING TO THE SERVICE IS LIMITED TO THE AMOUNTS YOU PAID US FOR THE SERVICE IN THE THREE (3) MONTHS BEFORE THE CLAIM.

17. Indemnification

To the maximum extent permitted by law, you agree to indemnify, defend, and hold harmless us and our officers, directors, employees, contractors, and agents from and against any claims, damages, losses, liabilities, costs, and expenses (including reasonable attorneys' fees) arising out of or related to: (a) your misuse of the Service; (b) your violation of these Terms; (c) your violation of any law or of third-party rights; or (d) your violation of Polymarket, Kalshi, or other third-party platform terms in connection with how you use our outputs.

18. Dispute resolution; arbitration; class-action waiver

Except where prohibited by law, any dispute arising out of or relating to these Terms or the Service shall be resolved by binding individual arbitration administered by the American Arbitration Association under its Consumer Arbitration Rules, rather than in court. The arbitration shall be seated in Florida. You and we waive any right to a jury trial and any right to participate in a class, collective, consolidated, or representative action. Either party may seek individual injunctive or equitable relief in court for intellectual-property misuse or unauthorized access to the Service where arbitration would be unavailable or inadequate.

19. Governing law and jurisdiction

These Terms are governed by the laws of the United States and the State of Florida, without regard to conflict-of-law principles that would require applying another jurisdiction's laws. Subject to the dispute-resolution section above, exclusive venue for any permitted court action shall be the state or federal courts located in Florida, and you consent to personal jurisdiction there.

20. Termination

We may suspend or terminate access for Terms violations, abuse, nonpayment, or operational reasons. You may stop using the Service and cancel your subscription at any time.

21. Changes

We may update these Terms. Material changes will be reflected by updating the "Last updated" date on this page. Continued use after changes constitutes acceptance.